Mark Leiter Jr.FITTED MODEL

P · ATH · MLB

2.2

Projection

-2.4

Floor (p10)

6.2

Ceiling (p90)

39%

Boom (1.5x)

35%

Bust (0.6x)

3.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-16	vs PIT	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-06-13	vs COL	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-08	vs MIL	-1.1	-	-	-	1
2026-06-07	@ HOU	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-04	@ CHC	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-03	@ CHC	1.5	-	-	-	0
2026-05-31	vs NYY	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-05-29	vs NYY	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-05-24	@ SD	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-05-21	@ LAA	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-05-20	@ LAA	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-16	vs SF	7.3	-	-	-	2
2026-05-14	vs STL	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-05-12	vs STL	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-09	@ BAL	-1.6	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts