Andrew NardiFITTED MODEL

P · MIA · MLB

2.4

Projection

-2.3

Floor (p10)

6.4

Ceiling (p90)

38%

Boom (1.5x)

34%

Bust (0.6x)

2.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-05-27	@ TOR	4.4	-	-	-	2
2026-05-25	@ TOR	2.9	-	-	-	1
2026-05-23	vs NYM	-1.7	-	-	-	0
2026-05-22	vs NYM	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-05-19	vs ATL	5.8	-	-	-	3
2026-05-16	@ TB	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-05-15	@ TB	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-05-10	vs WSH	4.9	-	-	-	2
2026-05-09	vs WSH	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-05-07	vs BAL	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-05	vs BAL	-4.2	-	-	-	0
2026-05-02	vs PHI	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-04-29	@ LAD	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-04-27	@ LAD	1.7	-	-	-	1
2026-04-26	@ SF	-4.2	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts