Clay HolmesFITTED MODEL

P · NYM · MLB

16.1

Projection

3.3

Floor (p10)

28.1

Ceiling (p90)

21%

Boom (1.5x)

25%

Bust (0.6x)

13.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-05-15	vs NYY	12.3	-	-	-	8
2026-05-09	@ AZ	16.6	-	-	-	6
2026-05-03	@ LAA	20.8	-	-	-	6
2026-04-28	vs WSH	23.1	-	-	-	6
2026-04-22	vs MIN	14.2	-	-	-	3
2026-04-15	@ LAD	11.7	-	-	-	4
2026-04-10	vs ATH	11.2	-	-	-	3
2026-04-04	@ SF	20.8	-	-	-	4
2026-03-30	@ STL	14.6	-	-	-	5
2025-09-27	@ MIA	15.1	-	-	-	2
2025-09-24	@ CHC	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-09-21	vs WSH	11.8	-	-	-	3
2025-09-16	vs SD	6.6	-	-	-	2
2025-09-10	@ PHI	4.4	-	-	-	5
2025-09-03	@ DET	13.7	-	-	-	6

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts