Ian HamiltonFITTED MODEL

P · ATL · MLB

1.6

Projection

-3.0

Floor (p10)

5.6

Ceiling (p90)

43%

Boom (1.5x)

38%

Bust (0.6x)

1.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-02	vs STL	-0.1	-	-	-	0
2026-06-30	vs STL	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-06-24	@ SD	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-04-21	@ WSH	-4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-07-28	vs TB	-0.5	-	-	-	0
2025-07-25	vs PHI	-0.9	-	-	-	1
2025-07-22	@ TOR	0.8	-	-	-	0
2025-07-20	@ ATL	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-07-18	@ ATL	-6.2	-	-	-	0
2025-07-13	vs CHC	2.9	-	-	-	2
2025-07-12	vs CHC	8.5	-	-	-	2
2025-07-10	vs SEA	6.2	-	-	-	2
2025-07-08	vs SEA	1.5	-	-	-	0
2025-07-04	@ NYM	-1.7	-	-	-	0
2025-07-02	@ TOR	4.5	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts