Nestor CortesFITTED MODEL

P · SD · MLB

6.6

Projection

-1.0

Floor (p10)

15.2

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

12.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-03	vs BAL	-8.8	-	-	-	2
2025-08-29	@ MIN	0.6	-	-	-	2
2025-08-23	vs LAD	18.9	-	-	-	3
2025-08-18	vs SF	8.2	-	-	-	5
2025-08-12	@ SF	16.3	-	-	-	6
2025-08-06	@ AZ	7.7	-	-	-	3
2025-04-03	vs CIN	23.7	-	-	-	6
2025-03-29	@ NYY	-14.1	-	-	-	2
2024-09-18	@ SEA	21.3	-	-	-	6
2024-09-12	vs BOS	23.6	-	-	-	9
2024-09-07	@ CHC	15.2	-	-	-	3
2024-09-01	vs STL	-3.0	-	-	-	2
2024-08-26	@ WSH	19.4	-	-	-	5
2024-08-21	vs CLE	21.9	-	-	-	4
2024-08-13	@ CWS	31.9	-	-	-	9

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts