Rafael MonteroFITTED MODEL

P · DET · MLB

2.5

Projection

-2.2

Floor (p10)

6.4

Ceiling (p90)

38%

Boom (1.5x)

34%

Bust (0.6x)

3.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-27	@ BOS	4.4	-	-	-	1
2025-09-24	@ CLE	-1.8	-	-	-	0
2025-09-23	@ CLE	0.8	-	-	-	0
2025-09-20	vs ATL	0.1	-	-	-	0
2025-09-19	vs ATL	4.5	-	-	-	1
2025-09-16	vs CLE	11.0	-	-	-	4
2025-09-13	@ MIA	-4.5	-	-	-	0
2025-09-12	@ MIA	2.5	-	-	-	1
2025-09-07	vs CWS	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-09-06	vs CWS	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-09-03	vs NYM	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-09-01	vs NYM	2.9	-	-	-	1
2025-08-31	@ KC	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-08-27	@ ATH	13.4	-	-	-	4
2025-08-24	vs KC	1.1	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts