Nick AndersonFITTED MODEL

P · COL · MLB

1.8

Projection

-2.8

Floor (p10)

5.8

Ceiling (p90)

42%

Boom (1.5x)

37%

Bust (0.6x)

2.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-08-27	@ HOU	1.6	-	-	-	1
2025-08-23	@ PIT	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-08-21	vs LAD	6.0	-	-	-	2
2025-08-19	vs LAD	1.9	-	-	-	1
2025-08-16	vs AZ	-0.9	-	-	-	1
2025-08-14	vs AZ	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-08-13	@ STL	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-08-11	@ STL	1.1	-	-	-	0
2025-08-08	@ AZ	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-08-06	vs TOR	5.8	-	-	-	1
2025-08-03	vs PIT	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-07-26	@ BAL	-11.3	-	-	-	0
2024-07-13	@ BOS	5.7	-	-	-	2
2024-07-12	@ BOS	2.2	-	-	-	0
2024-07-04	vs TB	3.6	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts