Matt ChapmanFITTED MODEL

3B · SF · MLB

6.5

Projection

0.4

Floor (p10)

15.7

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

43%

Bust (0.6x)

3.8

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-30	@ AZ	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-29	@ AZ	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-28	vs ATL	8.0	2	3	0	-
2026-06-27	vs ATL	2.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-26	vs ATL	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-25	vs ATH	7.0	1	1	0	-
2026-06-24	vs ATH	2.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-23	vs ATH	5.0	1	1	1	-
2026-06-21	@ MIA	2.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-20	@ MIA	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-19	@ MIA	2.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-17	@ ATL	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-16	@ ATL	4.0	0	0	2	-
2026-06-14	vs CHC	22.0	1	4	2	-
2026-06-13	vs CHC	3.0	1	1	0	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts