Robert GarciaFITTED MODEL

P · TEX · MLB

1.9

Projection

-2.8

Floor (p10)

5.9

Ceiling (p90)

42%

Boom (1.5x)

37%

Bust (0.6x)

2.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-04-16	@ ATH	0.8	-	-	-	0
2026-04-14	@ ATH	9.2	-	-	-	3
2026-04-11	@ LAD	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-04-10	@ LAD	-4.2	-	-	-	0
2026-04-06	vs SEA	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-04-05	vs CIN	-3.0	-	-	-	0
2026-03-31	@ BAL	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-03-29	@ PHI	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-03-28	@ PHI	2.3	-	-	-	1
2025-09-27	@ CLE	-2.9	-	-	-	0
2025-09-24	vs MIN	5.9	-	-	-	1
2025-09-21	vs MIA	5.0	-	-	-	1
2025-09-19	vs MIA	-1.1	-	-	-	1
2025-09-17	@ HOU	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-09-14	@ NYM	4.2	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts