Emilio PagánFITTED MODEL

P · CIN · MLB

1.4

Projection

-3.2

Floor (p10)

5.4

Ceiling (p90)

44%

Boom (1.5x)

39%

Bust (0.6x)

1.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-01	@ MIL	2.1	-	-	-	1
2026-05-05	@ CHC	0.0	-	-	-	-
2026-05-04	@ CHC	-1.7	-	-	-	1
2026-04-30	vs COL	-3.5	-	-	-	0
2026-04-25	vs DET	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-04-19	@ MIN	-0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-04-17	@ MIN	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-04-14	vs SF	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-04-11	vs LAA	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-04-07	@ MIA	5.0	-	-	-	2
2026-04-06	@ MIA	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-04-04	@ TEX	2.5	-	-	-	1
2026-04-03	@ TEX	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-04-01	vs PIT	-4.2	-	-	-	2
2026-03-29	vs BOS	1.1	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts