Gus VarlandFITTED MODEL

P · WSH · MLB

1.7

Projection

-3.0

Floor (p10)

5.7

Ceiling (p90)

43%

Boom (1.5x)

38%

Bust (0.6x)

0.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-25	vs PHI	-5.1	-	-	-	2
2026-06-21	@ TB	4.1	-	-	-	2
2026-06-16	vs KC	1.1	-	-	-	1
2026-06-15	vs KC	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-12	vs SEA	1.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-10	@ SF	-7.8	-	-	-	0
2026-06-08	@ SF	5.0	-	-	-	2
2026-06-07	@ AZ	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-03	vs MIA	-2.3	-	-	-	0
2026-05-30	vs SD	-0.9	-	-	-	1
2026-05-27	@ CLE	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-05-24	@ ATL	-1.7	-	-	-	0
2026-05-22	@ ATL	3.6	0	0	0	1
2026-05-18	vs NYM	3.3	-	-	-	0
2026-05-15	vs BAL	2.9	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts