Alex VesiaFITTED MODEL

P · LAD · MLB

2.9

Projection

-1.5

Floor (p10)

6.6

Ceiling (p90)

32%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

2.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-02	vs SD	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-28	@ SD	0.9	-	-	-	1
2026-06-27	@ SD	3.5	-	-	-	1
2026-06-24	@ MIN	7.0	-	-	-	3
2026-06-20	vs BAL	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-17	vs TB	2.5	0	0	0	1
2026-06-15	vs TB	0.8	-	-	-	0
2026-06-13	@ CWS	1.5	-	-	-	0
2026-06-11	@ PIT	2.8	-	-	-	1
2026-06-10	@ PIT	0.8	-	-	-	0
2026-06-07	vs LAA	-0.3	-	-	-	2
2026-06-04	@ AZ	0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-06-01	@ AZ	3.5	-	-	-	1
2026-05-30	vs PHI	2.9	-	-	-	1
2026-05-29	vs PHI	2.8	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts