Nate PearsonFITTED MODEL

P · HOU · MLB

2.7

Projection

-1.7

Floor (p10)

6.4

Ceiling (p90)

34%

Boom (1.5x)

33%

Bust (0.6x)

2.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-01	vs MIN	-1.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-29	vs MIN	-0.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-26	@ DET	7.0	-	-	-	1
2026-06-23	@ TOR	5.0	-	-	-	2
2026-06-20	vs CLE	-4.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-14	@ KC	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-12	@ KC	5.9	-	-	-	1
2026-06-07	vs ATH	7.9	-	-	-	2
2026-06-03	vs PIT	-0.1	-	-	-	3
2026-05-31	vs MIL	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-05-28	@ TEX	4.3	-	-	-	2
2026-05-24	@ CHC	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-05-20	@ MIN	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-08-08	@ STL	2.1	-	-	-	0
2025-08-05	vs CIN	5.9	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts