Phil MatonFITTED MODEL

P · CHC · MLB

1.8

Projection

-2.8

Floor (p10)

5.8

Ceiling (p90)

42%

Boom (1.5x)

37%

Bust (0.6x)

2.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-25	@ NYM	3.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-23	@ NYM	3.0	-	-	-	2
2026-06-16	vs COL	1.7	-	-	-	1
2026-06-15	vs COL	-0.5	-	-	-	0
2026-06-13	@ SF	4.4	-	-	-	1
2026-06-11	@ COL	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-10	@ COL	2.3	-	-	-	1
2026-06-05	vs SF	1.8	-	-	-	1
2026-06-03	vs ATH	0.1	-	-	-	0
2026-05-31	@ STL	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-29	@ STL	-0.3	-	-	-	1
2026-05-27	@ PIT	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-05-24	vs HOU	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-05-22	vs HOU	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-05-20	vs MIL	-0.3	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts