Garrett CrochetFITTED MODEL

P · BOS · MLB

11.8

Projection

-1.0

Floor (p10)

23.7

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

30%

Bust (0.6x)

17.7

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-04-25	@ BAL	24.5	-	-	-	7
2026-04-19	vs DET	11.8	-	-	-	8
2026-04-13	@ MIN	-24.1	-	-	-	0
2026-04-07	vs MIL	19.4	-	-	-	7
2026-04-01	@ HOU	12.4	-	-	-	7
2026-03-26	@ CIN	26.5	-	-	-	8
2025-09-24	@ TOR	28.2	-	-	-	6
2025-09-19	@ TB	21.3	-	-	-	9
2025-09-14	vs NYY	27.9	-	-	-	12
2025-09-08	@ ATH	34.0	-	-	-	10
2025-09-02	vs CLE	2.1	-	-	-	4
2025-08-28	@ BAL	18.7	-	-	-	7
2025-08-23	@ NYY	32.1	-	-	-	11
2025-08-17	vs MIA	26.8	-	-	-	8
2025-08-11	@ HOU	4.2	-	-	-	5

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts