Riley O'BrienFITTED MODEL

P · STL · MLB

2.5

Projection

-2.1

Floor (p10)

6.5

Ceiling (p90)

37%

Boom (1.5x)

33%

Bust (0.6x)

1.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-30	@ ATL	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-06-28	vs MIA	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-22	vs AZ	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-21	@ KC	-1.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-16	vs SD	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-06-13	@ MIN	0.5	-	-	-	1
2026-06-07	vs CIN	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-06	vs CIN	2.5	-	-	-	1
2026-06-03	vs TEX	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-06-02	vs TEX	-2.1	-	-	-	2
2026-05-29	vs CHC	-0.3	-	-	-	0
2026-05-23	@ CIN	6.4	-	-	-	2
2026-05-19	vs PIT	-4.8	-	-	-	0
2026-05-15	vs KC	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-05-14	@ ATH	5.7	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts