Ryan BrasierFITTED MODEL

P · CHC · MLB

1.9

Projection

-2.7

Floor (p10)

5.9

Ceiling (p90)

41%

Boom (1.5x)

37%

Bust (0.6x)

1.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-08-21	vs MIL	-2.1	-	-	-	1
2025-08-19	vs MIL	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-08-15	vs PIT	-0.9	-	-	-	0
2025-08-08	@ STL	0.5	-	-	-	2
2025-08-04	vs CIN	-1.7	-	-	-	0
2025-08-02	vs BAL	-4.5	-	-	-	0
2025-07-29	@ MIL	1.5	-	-	-	0
2025-07-27	@ CWS	-5.5	-	-	-	0
2025-07-25	@ CWS	6.2	-	-	-	2
2025-07-21	vs KC	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-07-19	vs BOS	5.7	-	-	-	2
2025-07-09	@ MIN	5.0	-	-	-	1
2025-07-05	vs STL	1.1	-	-	-	0
2025-07-03	vs CLE	0.8	-	-	-	0
2025-06-29	@ HOU	6.4	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts