dfsforge / NFL forecasts / Rhamondre Stevenson receiving yards

Rhamondre Stevenson: receiving yardsFITTED MODEL

RB · NE · NFL · baseline 25/game (2025, 14 games)
20
Median
5-51
80% range
10-35
50% range
56
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

52051
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

receiving yardsProbability
10+75%
20+50%
30+34%
40+18%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 663 RB receiving yards games, our 80% range covered 76.3% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2025 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Rhamondre Stevenson player page · all NFL forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts