dfsforge / NFL forecasts / Travis Etienne rushing yards

Travis Etienne: rushing yardsFITTED MODEL

RB · NO · NFL · baseline 65/game (2025, 17 games)
60
Median
26-109
80% range
40-85
50% range
125
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

2660109
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

rushing yardsProbability
20+93%
40+75%
60+51%
80+29%
100+15%
120+6%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 977 RB rushing yards games, our 80% range covered 77.6% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2025 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Travis Etienne player page · all NFL forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts