dfsforge / NFL forecasts / Samaje Perine rushing yards

Samaje Perine: rushing yardsFITTED MODEL

RB · CIN · NFL · baseline 25/game (2025, 15 games)
20
Median
-0-62
80% range
7-37
50% range
73
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

-02062
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

rushing yardsProbability
10+68%
20+51%
30+34%
40+22%
50+15%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 977 RB rushing yards games, our 80% range covered 77.6% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2025 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Samaje Perine player page · all NFL forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts