dfsforge / NFL forecasts / Kenny McIntosh rushing yards

Kenny McIntosh: rushing yardsFITTED MODEL

RB · SEA · NFL · baseline 16/game (2024, 11 games)
9
Median
-4-43
80% range
-0-25
50% range
63
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

-4943
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

rushing yardsProbability
10+47%
20+31%
30+19%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 977 RB rushing yards games, our 80% range covered 77.6% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2024 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Kenny McIntosh player page · all NFL forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts