dfsforge / NFL forecasts / Omarion Hampton receptions

Omarion Hampton: receptionsFITTED MODEL

RB · LAC · NFL · baseline 3.6/game (2025, 9 games)
3.3
Median
1.0-6.5
80% range
2.0-4.8
50% range
7.8
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

1.03.36.5
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

receptionsProbability
1.0+90%
2.0+76%
3.0+57%
4.0+37%
5.0+22%
6.0+13%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 637 RB receptions games, our 80% range covered 77.4% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2025 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Omarion Hampton player page · all NFL forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts