dfsforge / NFL forecasts / Dalton Schultz receiving yards

Dalton Schultz: receiving yardsFITTED MODEL

TE · HOU · NFL · baseline 46/game (2025, 17 games)
42
Median
8-88
80% range
23-64
50% range
107
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

84288
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

receiving yardsProbability
20+78%
40+53%
60+28%
80+14%
100+6%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 887 TE receiving yards games, our 80% range covered 83.4% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2025 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Dalton Schultz player page · all NFL forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts